Macbeth Blog - Santa Ynez Valley Real Estate

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David and Marlene Macbeth

  • Lower Your 2009 Tax Debt

    As a Top 5 in Real Estate Member, I counsel many clients on a wide range of financial concerns, not just their real estate investments. As 2009 comes to a close, I wanted to alert you to some important information that could save you money come tax time.

    In addition to the $8,000 tax break for first-time home buyers and the newly expanded tax credit that includes move-up buyers, new tax-relief bills passed in 2008 provide for a number of other tax breaks that may lower your 2009 tax debt. Plan now and review these breaks with your accountant to see if they could help reduce your tax liability in 2009 and beyond:

    • Payroll Tax Credit. For 2009 and 2010, Congress gave workers a 6.2% credit on earned income, applied as lower income tax withholding (there are caps based on income). Recipients of Social Security, Railroad Retirement benefits or Supplemental Security Income, some federal workers, and veterans with disability pensions will get a one-time $250 check. Self-employed workers may be able to reduce quarterly estimated payments to get advance benefits.

    • Larger Personal Exemptions.
    For 2009, each personal exemption you can claim is worth $3,650—up by $150 over 2008.

    • Higher Standard Deductions.
    The standard deduction for married couples filing jointly rises to $11,400 up by $500 from 2008. For singles, the amount increases to $5,700—up by $250 over last year, and heads of households can claim $8,350, a jump of $350.

    • Tax Credit for College Tuition.
    For 2009 and 2010, the Hope credit is replaced by a new credit of up to $2,500 per student a year for four years of college, not just the first two years. It now also covers the cost of books, but begins to phase out based on higher incomes.

    • Child Tax Credit.
    If the credit exceeds the filer’s tax liability, all or part of the credit will be refunded if the filer earns more than $3,000 – down from $12,550 in 2008. (Also, for families with three or more children, the maximum earned income tax credit for 2009 and 2010 rises by $628.50)

    Other changes that could affect you include higher income limits for deductible IRAs and Roth IRAs, higher estate tax and gift tax exemptions, credit for energy-saving home improvements, and partial exclusion of unemployment benefits.

    To understand how the new tax breaks could save you money, consult with your financial advisor or e-mail me for more information. Be sure to pass this email along to your family and friends—in these tough economic times, we could all use a tax break!
  • January 1 - January 31, 2010 Market Update

    Enclosed is the update of activity for January 1, 2010 through January 31, 2010, click here to view the updates.  There were a total of  45  new listings.  There were 11 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 7 sales between $150,000 and $600,000, 4 sales between $601,000 and $999,999, no sales over $1,000,000.  There were 17 sale completes.  Their were 23 price decreases and no price increases.  The number of current listings are up slightly; however they are still very high at 327 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley. 

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.875% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $729,750 are at 5.0% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.625% at zero points for origination. The conforming 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 4.25% at 1 point, the Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 5.375% at zero points.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is up at 1.828 for the month of January.  The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 0.39; last month it was at 0.63; 12 months ago it was at 1.77.

    Adjustable rate mortgages appear to be holding their own on resets. At least the ones we have tied to the LIBOR and 1 Year Treasuries.  I would caution anyone who has an interest only loan and has been paying ony interest only to check the terms of their loan.  At some point you will be moving toward an adjustable rate. However, instead of the payment being amortized over 30 years, it will be amortized over 25 years.  that will make a significant difference in your payment.   Play the "What If" game and estimate the interest rate, amortize it over 25 years and see what it looks like.  If you have difficulty doing any of the above, call us for some assistance.  Better to know ahead of time and formulate a plan than to be caught with your "Pants on the

    Ground" (anyone watch American Idol) That was funny but this reset will not be.

    Real Estate activity has been up.  Not everyone is writing offers as yet but an amazing number of people are out looking.  There are some great tax benefits available right now for the 1st time buyer and the non-1st time buyer, so for those sitting on the fence - the time is now.  Interest rates are great and some amazing inventory is is available.  The market continues to stabilize in the price ranges under 1 million which is a good thing. Lots of activity under $800,000. Just a few months ago the activity was all under $600,000 so that is a good thing for the upper end. 

    CIF schedules are in full swing at the High School. Water Polo, BasketBall and Soccer made it into CIF. I am not sure how Boys Soccer did but the Girls annihilated their 1st opponent 9-0. Way to go Girls Soccer.!!  They are a force to be reckoned with.  We have some amazing girl athletes on that team and I think we will see several names we know on a college roster somewhere.

    Great News! Panino's is coming to Santa Ynez.  I love their chicken curry sandwiches. No more trips to Solvang or Los Olivos - they are only a short walk away.  Sadlly, Santa Ynez lost Artiste Wine Tasting as they moved to Los Olivos.  I am especially proud as our son Adam is doing the remodel at the old Artiste spot in Santa Ynez .  We are proud parents; it looks pretty good if I do say so myself.

    Marlene and I received the Prudential Presdent's Circle Award for being in the Top 3% of Prudential Realtors Nationwide.  We credit our success to all of our clients who entrust us with your business and we wish to thank you all for that support.  We may be reached during the day at our office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number is 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the Valley and for choosing in 2010 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

    Your Real Estate Professionals Providing
    Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology

    David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth


  • December 1 - December 31, 2009 Market Update

    Enclosed is the update of activity for December 1, 2009 through December 31, 2009, click here to view the updates.  There were a total of  23 new listings.  There were12 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 6 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 6 sales between $601,000 and $999,999, no sales over $1,000,000.  There were 16 sale completes.  Their were 27 price decreases and no price increases.  The number of current listings are down slightly; however they are still very high at 291 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley.

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.6% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $729,750 are at 4.7% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.5% at zero points for origination. The conforming 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 4.2% at 1 point, the Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 5.2% at zero points.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is up at 2.094 for the month of January.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 0.43; last month it was at 0.48; 12 months ago it was at 1.77.

    There is a significant change noted in the interest rate information above on the Cost of Funds Index (COFI). The COFI is computed from data report by COFI Reporting Members of the Federal Home Loan Bank of San Francisco.  For November 2009 25 eligible institutions reported COFI data.  Effective November 1, 2009 Wachovia Mortgage merged into Wells Fargo Bank which is not eligible to be a COFI Report Member.. The impact of removals of COFI Report Members on the COFI index depends entirely on the amount of interest expense and total funds of the entity being removed.   This  merger changed the COFI, the basis for many negative amortization adjustable rate mortgages from 1.259% in October 2009 to 2.094% in November.  The effect of that is adjustable rate mortgages will change almost imediately about .8%.  So if your adjustable rate mortgage rate was based on the COFI plus a margin of 3.0; your interest rate will change from 4.259% to 5.094% in one month. If you pay rate, the interest rate at whiich your payment is recalculated was set for the 4%+ rate and your interest rate is now in the 5% range, all of a sudden you will be accruing negative interest to your principal balance at a time when most of the other indices are dropping or remaining relatively stable. If you have an adjustable rate mortgage and it is tied to the Cost of Funds Index, you should evaluate your  payment amounts because this is not the time to be adding to your principal balance.  Call or email us for more information or  if you have additional questions. 

    Other than the above change the market appears to be stabilizing in the price ranges under 1 million which is a good thing.  There was relatively consistent activity at least for us during the month of December as showing occured and a few of our listings in this same range went into escrow.

    Happy New Year and let's hope 2010 is a great year for all of us.  We may be reached during the day at our office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number is 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the Valley in 2009 and for choosing in 2010 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

     

    Your Real Estate Professionals Providing
    Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology

    David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth

  • November 1 - November 30, 2009 Market Update

    Enclosed is the update of activity for November 1, 2009 through November 30, 2009, click here to view the updates.  There were a total of  19 new listings.  There were 20 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 13 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 3 sales between $601,000 and $999,999, 2 sales between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999, 1 sale between $2,000,000 and 1 commercial property sale.  There were 11 sale completes.  Their were 23 price decreases and no price increases.  The number of current listings are down slightly; however they are still very high at 309 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley. 

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.6% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $729,750 are at 4.7% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.5% at zero points for origination. The conforming 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 4.2% at 1 point, the Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 5.2% at zero points.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is down at 1.259 for the month of November.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 0.48; last month it was at 0.54; 12 months ago it was at 2.57.

    The real estate market continues to be in the new reality. Some of that is good; some of it is not so good. There are still lots of great opportunities for Buyers but the amount of inventory in the low end (under $600,000 ) has disappeared and prices are starting to stabize. That is not to say we still will not see REO's and short sales in he future but right now Marlene and I are not anticipating further eroding of equity value.  The market between 600,000-1,000, 000 is still finding its niche but the lower end of that price range  I  think is also at the bottom. There are enough comparables out there that we have a good idea of where pricing needs to be to sell. Sales over $1,000,000 continue to be slow and I think will be determined by employment conditions. The good news on the unemployment picture is that we only lost 11,000 jobs last month. A higher number is due in part to seasonal hiring but at this point "beggars can't be choosers."  We will take whatever good news there is.

    The Holidays are in full swing at our house. The tree is up and decorated. The mood of our grandchildren is high anticipation.  Bob, the Elf is showing up in a different spot every day and all the chilren are hoping he is taking note of their good behavior and reporting good things to Santa and Mrs. Claus.  Speaking of Santa and Mrs Claus(Dave and Marlene), they will be in Santa Ynez this Saturday from 1:00 to 3:00 in the courtyard on Sagunto Street. Stop by with your children or without. Santa's lap accommodates all sizes  It's always fun.  The spirit is upon us.  Remember the Foodbank and Christmas Unity or People Helping People in the Valley as their resources have all been tested by the economy and unemployment.  I  know they will appreciate anything you can afford to share. We hope you all have a wonderful Holiday Season with your family and friends because that is truly what it is all about.

    We may be reached during the day at our office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number is 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

    Your Real Estate Professionals Providing
    Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology
    David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth

  • October 1 - October 31, 2009 Market Update

    Enclosed is the update of activity for October 1, 2009 through October 31, 2009, click here to view the updates.  There were a total of  29 new listings.  There were 19 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 13 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 3 sales between $601,000 and $999,999 and 3 sales between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999 and no land sales.  There were 24 sale completes.  Their were 41 price decreases and 1 price increase.  The number of current listings are down slightly; however they are still very high at 327 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley. 

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.8% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $729,750 are at 5.0% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.5% at zero points for origination. The conforming 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 4.2% at 1 point, the Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 5.5% at zero points.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is down at 1.272 for the month of November.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 0.54; last month it was at 0.63; 12 months ago it was at 2.55.

    Real estate continues to be busy;   29 new listings versus 19 sale pendings  which is not as good as last month but still good considering seasonal adjustments.  Contingency sales are continuing to make for an unusually long escrow but there have been some shorter time frame sales in the mix.  The big news for this month is that the $8,000 tax credit has been extended until April 30,2010. There are new rules to consider which may or may not impact your situation but good to know. The chart is printed on the reverse of this letter for your convenience and a few more details are described below:

    Tax Credit Versus Tax Deduction - Its important to remember that the tax credit is just that& a tax credit. The benefit of a tax credit is that its a dollar-for-dollar tax reduction, rather than a reduction in a tax liability that would only save you $1,000 to $1,500 when all was said and done. So, if a first-time homebuyer were to owe $8,000 in income taxes and would qualify for a tax credit of $8,000, she would owe nothing.  Better still, the tax credit is refundable, which means the homebuyer can receive a check for the credit if he or she has little income tax liability. For example, if a first-time homebuyer is eligible for a tax credit of $8,000 but is liable for $4,000 in income tax, she can still receive a check for the remaining $4,000!

    Higher Income Caps- The amount of income someone can earn and qualify for the full amount of the credit has been increased. Single tax filers who earn up to $125,000 are eligible for the total credit amount. Those who earn more than this cap can receive a partial credit. However, single filers who earn $145,000 and above are ineligible.  Joint filers who earn up to $225,000 are eligible for the total credit amount. Those who earn more than this cap can receive a partial credit. However, joint filers who earn $245,000 and above are ineligible.

    Maximum Purchase Price -  Qualifying buyers may purchase a property with a maximum sale price of $800,000.

    Guess I am both out of time and out of space - the later of which is to be distinguished from "out in space or  somewhere in left field" or whatever else you label it. It has been a rough month but there is light at the end of the tunnel.  The residential market although not robust continues to improve; the Federal Government continues to see the need to support Housing as a way out of the Economic Slump.  The SY Pirate Football Team handily won its last game and looks like the SY GirlsVolleyball Team  as of today are through the third round of CIF.  Good Luck Pirates- continue to make us proud both on the field and off.  Life is good.

    Marlene has been in Wisconsin for a few days visiting with her cousins and saying good-bye to her Aunt, just another part of the cycle of life. Good-bye can be very hard but it will be a time to celebrate a lifetime of great memories. We will all be together for the Thanksgiving Holiday and we hope you and yours  will enjoy time together and be thankful.    .Otherwise, we may be reached during the day at our office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number is 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

    Your Real Estate Professionals Providing
    Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology
    David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth

    e-PRO, GRI

  • September 1 - September 30, 2009 Market Update

    Normal 0 0 1 725 4137 34 8 5080 11.1025 0 0 0

    Enclosed is the update of activity for September 1, 2009 through September 30, 2009, click here to view the updates.  There were a total of  32 new listings.  There were 29 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 18 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 6 sales between $601,000 and $999,999 and 3 sales between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999, 1 commercial sale and 1 land sale.  There were 15 sale completes.  Their were 33 price decreases and 1 price increase.  The number of current listings are down slightly; however they are still very high at 337 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley.

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.7% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $729,750 are at 5.0% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.6% at 1 point for origination. The conforming 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 3.8% at 1 point, the Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 5.2% at zero points.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is down at 1.412 for the month of October.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 0.63; last month it was at 0.76; 12 months ago it was at 3.98.

    Fall is certainly in the air.  There was frost on our roofs the other morning so I think it is time to put away summer and move into my fall-winter mode. Marlene and I take our grandchildren to preschool every morning so we are heading out early to make our rounds to the Presbyterian Preschool, Tecolote Daycare and Los Olivos School and it is frosty. The girls are quite fond of Krazy Country so no more Fox News for me. Their morning serenade usually involves some Taylor Swift, Rascal Flatts or Sugarland and what's scary is they know all the words.  Even Keighley at age 3 can sing right along. I have considered painting my "Man" Truck  pink as the car seats are lined up in the back seat. Life doesn't get any better than this.

    I also love to do the stats for the month when they start looking good.  Real estate has been busy of late and  32 new listings versus 29 sale pendings means that at least we are almost keeping pace.  The one thing that should be noted the length of time the contingency sales are taking.  Some of the short sale pending will actually not report as sold final for 4-6 months, sometimes even longer.  That bodes well for those sellers that are not in a short sale position because some buyers just don't want the wait or the hassle of not really knowing for 5 months or so if they really will get the house. An experience listing agent can sometimes make all the difference in shortening that time frame or having a reasonable assurance of closing. If you are thinking that its your time to enter the market or if you find yourself in a position where you need to sell for less than the amount owed, it would be wise to schedule a consultation with us and  consider all the possibilities.  The $8,000 tax credit deadline for the Fed is looming and it is a big plus if you can take advantage of it.  There is also some talk of extending it but there is nothing definite as yet.

    What is the market doing currently...stabilizing?, continuing to free fall?. My thoughts are that prices in some cases have retreated to 2002 values.  I continue to think we are stabilizing especially in the lower end  but REO lenders continue to amaze me with their pricing which does impact the overall market.  My number one pet peeve at the moment is they do not do anything to make a property more saleable to the buyer other than lower the price.  I am not talking any big ticket items.  I think minor cleaning, washing windows, cleaning bathrooms and carpets would make a difference that would translate into a little higher sales price which would compensate them for paying for those expenses.  It might also translate into shorter marketing times.  If you as a seller are competing with a lot of low-priced REO's, then staging the house, removing the clutter and making it sparkle needs to be your number one priority, it does make a difference.

    Guess I am out of space.  Hope we see you this fall at the games at the High School, on the way to School or out just enjoying a spectacular Valley fall.  Otherwise, we may be reached during the day at our office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number is 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

  • August 1 - August 31, 2009 Market Update

    Normal 0 0 1 600 3425 28 6 4206 11.1025 0 0 0 Enclosed is the update of activity for August 1, 2009 through August 31, 2009, click here to view the updates. There were a total of  33 new listings.  There were 25 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 16 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 6 sales between $601,000 and $999,999 and no sales between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999 and 3 land sale.  There were 13 sale completes.  Their were 40 price decreases and no price increases.  The number of current listings are down slightly; however they are still very high at 349 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley.

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.8% at zero points and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $729,750 are at 5.1% at zero points and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.6% at zero points for origination. The conforming 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 4.1% at zero points, the Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 5.1% at zero points.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is down at 1.473 for the month of August.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 0.76; last month it was at 0.91; 12 months ago it was at 3.12.

    August has been a busy month filled with long negotiations but culminating in quite a few pending sales.  Buyers are being very careful in their assessment of values which can put Sellers at a disadvantage. However, I think everyone is coming to grips with the reality of the "New" market and finding that it is what it is; sometimes "moving on" is much better than "hanging on" and what you have to lose in the "peanuts", you can make up in the "popcorn."

    Short sales are still taking anywhere from 3-6 moths to accomplish so it still appears that lenders are still inundated with loans that are not paying off at full value. However, for those of you in the short sale position and bemoaning the loss in your credit standing, there is light at the end of the tunnel.  One of our clients sold their home at a value that did not pay off the lender in full.  Their story is different in that they did whatever they needed to do to make their payment up until the close of escrow. True, they did not leave their home with any dollars in their pocket and the lender did not get full value on their money  but 5 months post sale, their credit scores are still over 740. This will  enable them to buy a home, probably more quickly than any of us anticipated and recover from this economic crisis.

    Fall is upon us and we are at home tonight listening to an exciting Pirate Football game on Krazy Kountry 105.9 over an awesome new sound system courtesy of the Football Boosters and their sponsors. What a difference from years past.  We are getting ready to go out of town or Marlene and I would both be at the game--we are such sports junkies. There is nothing like Friday Night Football in Santa Ynez but then we  like all the sports because it is not the WIN that's important for kids but the TRY.  We are going to miss Danish Days this year but I hope you all get to have some of those great aebelskivers at Saturday or Sunday breakfast on the streets of Solvang.  Next year Solvang will be celebrating her Centennial Celebration and we wouldn't miss it.

    We may be reached during the day at our office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number is 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

    Your Real Estate Professionals Providing
    Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology

    David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth

  • July 1 - July 31, 2009 Market Update

    Enclosed is the update of activity for July 1, 2009 through July 31, 2009, click here to view the updates.  There were a total of  32 new listings.  There were 20 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 14 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 4 sales between $601,000 and $999,999 and no sales between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999, 1 sale between $4,000,000 and $4,999,999 and 1land sale.  There were 27 sale completes.  Their were 44 price decreases and no price increases.  The number of current listings are down slightly; however they are still very high at 350 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley.

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.875% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $729,750 are at 5.0% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.50% at 1 point for origination. The conforming 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 3.375% at 1 point, the Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 4.10% at 1 point.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is up at 1.599 for the month of July.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 0.94; last month it was at 1.11; 12 months ago it was at 3.12.

    I am just only to say a few words about where the market is today from where it was in August 2005. We are at the 4 year mark. During the first 12-18 months I think most of us, realtors and homeowners alike, were in the"shell shock" mode.  What is happening???  Properties are on the market and not selling. As we all started coming to our senses, reality began hitting and we could see we were in for a roller coaster ride downhill....a complete "free fall" looking for the "sweet spot"of stability. A local appraiser has calculated that market values have been going down approximately 1.3% monthly for the past 29 months.  I am sure there is a great mathematician out there who could calculate the true drop in the market but I am more a simple mathematician so I am going to call it a drop of approximately 30-40% from the peak.  Yikes!!!! But don't panic. There are other areas that are far worse; and there are even some pockets in the valley that have been worse than others. So where are we now.  I truly believe the lower end of the market has hit bottom. Inventory continues to decrease and with lack of supply comes demand........stability. Even the condominium market has started to come into its own and has started to stabilize at about 35-40% of peak value. The area that seems to still need a correction is probably the market from $900,000 to $3,000,000+.  I used to think the upper end of the stratosphere was immune here but even here we are seeing some adjustments, not to the extent of the lower end but an adjustment never the less.

    There are some good things that have happened.  People are started to save more, the savings rate is up around 6% and it was about 1-2%. We are learning our properties...the shelter over our heads are not a bank accounts to draw from but rather a savings account where we can accumulate wealth...slow and steady like the tortoise, one mortgage payment at a time.  For those who have had a rough time in the past 48 months, there is  light at the end of the tunnel and you can recover. The one lesson I think we have all learned is not to take anything for granted which brings me to my last point.  If you are a grandparent, parent, daughter, son, daughter-in-law, son-in-law, wife, husband, ex-wife, ex-husband, aunt, uncle, cousin, etc trying to do your best, the other half of your equation is probably trying to do their best too. Give them a break, it all can change in an instant and just maybe it wasn't all that bad.  Carpe Diem Oige... what a great lesson you have given us and how lucky we were to have had you spend time in our world.

    We may be reached during the day at our office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number is 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

    Your Real Estate Professionals Providing
    Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology
    David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth
    e-PRO, GRI
    Realtors
    Prudential California Realty.

  • June 1 - June 31, 2009 Market Update

    Enclosed is the update of activity for June 1, 2009 through June 30, 2009, click here to view the updates.  There were a total of  41 new listings.  There were 36 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 26 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 4 sales between $601,000 and $999,999 and 4 sales between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999, 1 sale between $14,000,000 and $14,999,999 and 1 commercial property sale.  There were 21 sale completes.  Their were 53 price decreases and 2 price increase.  The number of current listings are down slightly; however they are still very high at 361 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley.

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.75% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $729,750 are at 4.875% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.50% at 1 point for origination. The conforming 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 3.875% at 1 point, the Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 4.625% at 1 point.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is up at 1.832 for the month of June.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 1.11; last month it was at 1.23; 12 months ago it was at 3.10.

    Stats...Stats amd more Stats. Will I never get tired of looking at the numbers from every concievable angle. Nope, I guess not and this is my forum for entertaining or boring you all to tears. The MLS has chosed to break down our categories  for Pending into Contingent, Contingent Short Sale, and Straight Sale Pending. It provides us with a better idea of the type of sale we are looking at and if a price looks particularly low or high we have an idea if it was a property in distress or just a seller wanting or needing to sell. Last time I gave you my "2 Cents" analysis of the lower price ranges but today it the struggling price range $800,000-1,000,000.  There is good and not so good on the horizon.  The good news is that there are 4 sales contingent in that price range.  One Skytt Mesa on .49 acres and the rest between 1 acre and 19 acres; it should be noted that everyone of these properties started at a price ranges betwee $1,125,000 and $1,450,000; 3 of them are in Santa Ynez and 1 in Solvang. Two of these are probably short sales. There are no contingent short sales in this price category. In the Pending Properties category there are 2 properties that were listed in the $800,000-900,000 range that are pending at the moment.  One sold in the low 700,000 range and one on an acre that sold in the 800,000's. What does this tell us...and remember this is in general. If you are a $800,000+ house on less than 1/2 acre you need to be in the low 700,000's so you can compete with the new "boys on the block.".  All of the Skytt Mesa properties have already adjusted their prices to put themselves in position for a sale by reductions into the 700,000 range and offering lots of incentives. They are new with all the accompanying stylistic amenties including 10 foot ceilings, wide moldings, 8 foot doors, lots of square footage, in some cases 3 car garages and new..new..new. If you are on an acre, you need to be pretty "spiffy", updated and some added features if you expect a price in the $850,000- 950,000 + range. This is a tought market for buyers as the economy has hit them hard.  They generally have a home to sell and cannot afford to carry two payments to buy what they want while waiting for their home to sell. The good news is that they are out there looking, a few of them are in a position to buy but they are looking for their best deal.

    The Santa Ynez Valley Economic Forecast was held at the Hotel Corque last week.  Marlene and I both attended. Attached is a better summary than I provided several weeks ago that covers the Economic Forecast but also some insightful commentary from one of the Hoteliers who indicates hotel occupancy is at about the high 60's range but guests expecting a little more "bang for their buck" in the way of amenities as well as a lot of locals also supporting many of the valley businesses. Marlene and I find between spending more time to pull together each and every sale during a difficult real estate market and our special grandparent moments we are staying in the valley more, enjoying our local activities and restaurants and keeping the "$love$"  local. Oh what a shame..".just another day in Paradise."

    We may be reached during the day at our office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number is 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

    Your Real Estate Professionals Providing
    Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology
    David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth
    e-PRO, GRI
    Realtors
    Prudential California Realty.

  • May 1 - May 31, 2009 Market Update

    Enclosed is the update of activity for May 1, 2009 through May 31, 2009, click here to view the updates..  There were a total of  50 new listings.  There were 35 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 27 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 3 sales between $601,000 and $999,999 and 2 sales between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999, 2 sale between $6,000,000 and $6,999,999 and 1 land sales.  There were 10 sale completes.  Their were 39 price decreases and 2 price increase.  The number of current listings are up slightly; however they are still very high at 362 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley.

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.75% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $603,250 are at 4.875% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.625% at 1 point for origination. The conforming 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 4.0% at 1 point, the Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 5.125% at 1 point.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is down at 1.380 for the month of June.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 1.23; last month it was at 1.54; 12 months ago it was at 2.90.

    I just did the stats for Properties under $400,000 or less in the Valley including Los Alamos but excluding Condominiums and Single Family homes on leased land; there are only 14 active, 12 listings are pending or contingent, and 12 have sold in the past 6 months.  That gives an absorption of approximately 1 per month in the past but an increase of 100% for the future.  Using those same parameters on the $400,000-600,000 range there are 21 active, 17 listings contingent or pending and only 1 sold in the past 6 months. That reflects an extremely slow turnover rate over the past 6 months but a market that has heated up with great intensity and activity in the past few weeks. Using those same parameters in the 600,000 to 800,000 range there are 26  active listings, 6 contingent sales and 7  solds in the past 6 months.  That market is also showing some promise but I think its time is not quite here but the next 60 days during the best marketing season of the year looks to be very promising. 

    The Santa Ynez Valley Economic Forecast was held at the Hotel Corque last week.  Marlene and I both attended.  The nation as a whole and the State of California still are having significant problems but surprisingly Santa Barbara County, at least the South County and the Santa Ynez Valley were doing far better than most places due in most part to its economic base of Tourism, (We are family friendly and only a short drive from LA or San Francisco), Agriculture (I guess wine grapes, strawberries and broccoli will see us through.) and the presence of the Casino.  That's not to say we are without issues but we are faring better than most. We have printed a voluminous report of approximately 300+ pages which is available to look at details and graphs if anyone is interested.

    Graduations have been in full swing throughout the Valley during the past 2 weeks and ending today. Having recycled ourselves through our own children's graduations, we are now on the "2nd coming".  Last night we had a Kindergarten graduation party for our oldest grandchild who felt that since she had attended a High School graduation party, she requested a command performance from a very good-natured High School graduate who I am sure would rather have been having a good time with his friends. Thanks for that....you know who you are and I won't embarrass you further.

    We may be reached during the day at our office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number is 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

  • April 16 - April 30, 2009 Market Update

    Enclosed is the update of activity for April 16, 2009 through April 30, 2009, click here to view the updates.  There were a total of  20 new listings.  There were 10 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 6 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 3 sales between $601,000 and $999,999 and no sales between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999, 1 sale between $2,000,000 and $2,999,999 and no land sales.  There were 6 sale completes.  Their were 21 price decreases and 1 price increase.  The number of current listings are down slightly; however they are still very high at 347 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley.

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.50% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $603,250 are at 4.625% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.625% at 1 point for origination. The Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 5.0% at 1 point.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is down at 1.626 for the month of May.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 1.54; last month it was at 1.65; 12 months ago it was at 2.88.

    I just did the stats for Properties under $400,000 or less in the Valley including Los Alamos and there are only 12 active and I know of those 12 at least 50% are in negotiation today or entering escrow.  The lower end is stabilizing as Sold comparables show us almost 1 closed escrow per week over the past 6 months and we have not yet hit the typical "prime" marketing season. Stay tuned for the $400,000-600,000 price range and the $600,000-800,000 range.

    Summer has hit the Valley. Temperatures have been in the 80's and 90's which if you are like Marlene and I is a good thing.  We love summer in the Valley. Truth be told, we love all seasons here but who wouldn't. We live in a great place.  However, it does not come without a price and at the moment as I drive around the Valley, I think our dollars would be well spent in a weed abatement program that keeps our vegetation to a level that will prevent a disaster as they are experiencing this week in Santa Barbara. Watching the news has been an eye-opener. As residents we need to be vigilant about brush and foliage around our homes and in the vacant parcels that surround us.

    The election continues to loom closer so read the ballots and remember to Vote.  Vote Yes on Proposition 1A and 1B. I know money is tight for everyone at this time but lets not make our children pay the price. 

    In the meantime our prayers and thoughts go out to our neighbors in Santa Barbara and the Fire and Police Officers who are working around the clock in terrible conditions to keep us all safe.  May this end quickly so that we can all have a Happy Mother's Day.   We may be reached during the day at our new office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number remains 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

    Your Real Estate Professionals Providing
    Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology
    David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth
    e-PRO, GRI
    Realtors
    Prudential California Realty.

  • April 1 - April 15, 2009 Market Update

    Enclosed is the update of activity for April 1, 2009 through April 15, 2009, click here to view the updates. There were a total of  20 new listings.  There were 5 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 3 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 1 sales between $601,000 and $999,999 and 1 sale between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999, and no land sales.  There were 7 sale completes.  Their were 23 price decreases and 4 price increase.  The number of current listings are up slightly; however they are still very high at 356 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley.

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.875% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $603,250 are at 5.125% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 6.75% at 1 point for origination. The Conforming 5 year Interest Only is at 4.625% at 1 point.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is down at 2.003 for the month of April.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 1.65; last month it was at 1.74; 12 months ago it was at 1.92.

    Real Estate activity, at least in the lower price ranges continues to move. There are still many opportunities out there but we are seeing multiple offers on many properties. That bodes well for sellers/lenders on both fronts.  With a number of buyers bidding on the same property there is less chance that an offer will be accepted by a desperate seller that is less than fair market value. That is also good for homeowners who are not looking to sell as the erosion of value on properties seems to have stabilized.  It is still a great time to buy because interest rates continue to be at record lows.  I got a quote as low as 4.5% at 1 point. The rates are continuing to bounce around so I have the lenders I am using watch my buyers loans like a hawk because when its down, we want to "lock it in"  This is not like the stock market where you have an opening and closing bell for either the absolute lowest rate or the absolute lowest price. A buyer has to take their best shot. If you are waiting too long for the lowest and best price, you can miss the market.

    The election coming this May is an important one for the schools and educational programs.  I think every school in the Valley is having to severely cut expenses and staff.  If you have a child in school,  you are more than motivated to get the best education possible for your child.  Losing our younger, energetic teachers will hurt our schools and your child.  For those of you past child-raising years, you are not off the hook.  A great educational system is part of support system for maintaining our property values and that is of interest to us all.  One of the first questions a buyer of real estate asks is What are the schools like?   The  answer is all of our Elementary and High Schools are great; their API scores are among the highest in the state. Santa Ynez Valley High School has API scores around 810; it was named by Newsweek as one of the 600 Best High Schools in the Nation. It has Advanced Placement and International Baccalaureate Programs that allow our students academic scholarships and admittance to outstanding universities.  Money is tight for everyone at this time but lets not make our children pay the price. 

    We may be reached during the day at our new office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number remains 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

    Your Real Estate Professionals Providing

    Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology

    David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth

  • February 16 - March 15 Market Update

    Enclosed is the update of activity for February 16, 2009 through March 15, 2009, click here to view the updates.  There were a total of  32 new listings.  There were 14 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 10 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 4 sales between $601,000 and $999,999, no sales between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999, and no land sales.  There were 9 sale completes.  Their were 59 price decreases and 1 price increase.  The number of current listings are up slightly; however they are still very high at 335 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley.

    Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.875% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $603,250 are at 5.5% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 6.75% at 1.25 points for origination. The Conforming 5 year Interest Only is at 4.75% at 1 point.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is down slightly at 2.455 for the month of March.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. FYI: LIBOR is the abbreviation for "London Interbank Offered Rate." The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 1.96; last month it was at 1.75; 12 months ago it was at 2.74.

    It's almost Spring. I am so excited. Spring always gives me spring fever and besides Spring Vacation and Easter Egg hunts are on the horizon at our house.  That is, after we get over talking about the Leprechaun who visits at night and leaves little gold coins in secret places. By the way...Happy St. Patrick's Day.  Don't you just love the innocence of children and how they look at things.  It was so much easier way back then.

    Good News for Spring - listings have been selling---every listing we have under $600,000 except one is in escrow at the moment. 1st time Buyers, young people and investors  have been looking at this time as a great opportunity. We are still a long way from getting out of this situation but there is progress.

    The education situation and budget remains scary. I know of so many teachers who will be looking elsewhere for employment.  I am fearful for our children on how this will impact their academic needs.  I know the teacher in our family, our daughter, Amie has a full schedule of classes at SY High School and 150-160 students who will not have the benefit of her expertise or caring attitude   unless a major windfall happens to the High School budget. This kind of situation affects us all as property owners.  One of the reasons our real estate has the value it does is because we have great schools. The number one question from young families moving to the family is "How are the Schools?"  I hope we have the financial  resources and teachers to keep on top of the academic ladder for next year and beyond.  In the meantime, we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

    Your Real Estate Professionals Providing

    Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology

    David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth

  • Single Story For Sale in Village Collection

    • 3,197 sq. ft., 3 bath, 3 bdrm single story - MLS® $1,425,000 - Great Price

     -  Spectacular views from a poolside setting are the focus of this 3 bedroom plus office/library, 3 bath home on 1/3 acre in the Village Collection. Spacious living/family rooms enhanced with cathedral ceilings, accent lighting, and custom fireplace surrounded by a library and media cabinets; custom kitchen with upgraded appliances, granite and tile counters, and skylight for natural lighting. Large master bedroom suite with separate walk-in closets, double sinks, soaking tub and private commode. 3+ car garage with lots of space for storage or workshop. Spectacular backyard with pool and spa

    Property information

  • Price Reduced on 232 Valhalla Drive in Village Collection

    Village Collection, Solvang  -  Announcing a price reduction on 232 Valhalla Drive, a 3,197 sq. ft., 3 bath, 3 bdrm single story. Now MLS® $1,425,000 - Great Price.

    Property information

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