Macbeth Blog - Santa Ynez Valley Real Estate

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David and Marlene Macbeth

November 1 - November 30, 2009 Market Update

Enclosed is the update of activity for November 1, 2009 through November 30, 2009, click here to view the updates.  There were a total of  19 new listings.  There were 20 pending sales.  Of the residential sales there were 13 sales between $200,000 and $600,000, 3 sales between $601,000 and $999,999, 2 sales between $1,000,000 and $1,999,999, 1 sale between $2,000,000 and 1 commercial property sale.  There were 11 sale completes.  Their were 23 price decreases and no price increases.  The number of current listings are down slightly; however they are still very high at 309 listings specific to the Santa Ynez Valley. 

Rates continue to go up and down on a daily basis.  We are checking daily with  lenders and trying to make sure our buyer have their loans locked in and for a long enough period of time if they are dealing with the purchase of a short sale.  Conforming 30 year fixed rates up to $417,000 are at 4.6% at 1 point and Jumbo Conforming Loans which are loans up to $729,750 are at 4.7% at 1 point and Super Jumbo Loans are at 5.5% at zero points for origination. The conforming 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 4.2% at 1 point, the Jumbo 5 year ARM Interest Only is at 5.2% at zero points.  The 11th District Cost of Funds index (COFI) is down at 1.259 for the month of November.  We are adding the 6 month LIBOR index to our update letter as it is becoming the standard for many Adjustable Rate Mortgages. The 6 month LIBOR rate is at 0.48; last month it was at 0.54; 12 months ago it was at 2.57.

The real estate market continues to be in the new reality. Some of that is good; some of it is not so good. There are still lots of great opportunities for Buyers but the amount of inventory in the low end (under $600,000 ) has disappeared and prices are starting to stabize. That is not to say we still will not see REO's and short sales in he future but right now Marlene and I are not anticipating further eroding of equity value.  The market between 600,000-1,000, 000 is still finding its niche but the lower end of that price range  I  think is also at the bottom. There are enough comparables out there that we have a good idea of where pricing needs to be to sell. Sales over $1,000,000 continue to be slow and I think will be determined by employment conditions. The good news on the unemployment picture is that we only lost 11,000 jobs last month. A higher number is due in part to seasonal hiring but at this point "beggars can't be choosers."  We will take whatever good news there is.

The Holidays are in full swing at our house. The tree is up and decorated. The mood of our grandchildren is high anticipation.  Bob, the Elf is showing up in a different spot every day and all the chilren are hoping he is taking note of their good behavior and reporting good things to Santa and Mrs. Claus.  Speaking of Santa and Mrs Claus(Dave and Marlene), they will be in Santa Ynez this Saturday from 1:00 to 3:00 in the courtyard on Sagunto Street. Stop by with your children or without. Santa's lap accommodates all sizes  It's always fun.  The spirit is upon us.  Remember the Foodbank and Christmas Unity or People Helping People in the Valley as their resources have all been tested by the economy and unemployment.  I  know they will appreciate anything you can afford to share. We hope you all have a wonderful Holiday Season with your family and friends because that is truly what it is all about.

We may be reached during the day at our office 805-688-2969, and in the evening at 805-688-2986.  Our toll-free number is 1-800-300-7977.  My cell phone is 805-689-4178 and Marlene's is 805-689-2738.  So whether you need to buy or sell, call us. We would like to show you what we can do!  In the meantime we thank you again for your loyalty and support in seeking us out when looking at properties in the valley and for choosing in 2009 to get your information about Santa Ynez Valley real estate from................

Your Real Estate Professionals Providing
Old-Fashioned Service Using Today's Technology
David Macbeth and Marlene Macbeth

Published Thursday, December 10, 2009 3:11 PM by David & Marlene Macbeth
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